Trade Issues a Risk to Stock Market

The Trump administration’s protectionist talks are a risk to the current bull market in stocks. According to MarketWatch, a recent report suggested that President Trump may seek withdrawal from North American Free Trade Ageement (NAFTA), a trading pact among the United States, Canada, and Mexico. A couple of months ago, Trump stated that the U.S. will not be taken advantage of anymore when it comes to trading in goods and services.

A couple of Canadian officials have admitted that Canada is becoming more convinced that the U.S. will seek to end NAFTA. But, if Trump wants to do it, it will not be that simple since the Congress needs to approve it.

Even an attempt to end NAFTA would bring great business uncertainty. After all, many American companies do business in Canada and Mexico. And this is cited as one of the major stock market risks in 2018. Already, Geopolitical Risk Indicator, run by Black Rock, is at its highest level since 2015.

If there’s a serious talk about ending NAFTA, it is likely to affect global trade in general. In the past, Donald Trump has criticized trading with China on multiple occasions. If there’s a trade clash between the United States and the Middle Kingdom, this is going to bring even more uncertainty to this bull market. With equities valued sky high, a major market correction could as well come this year.

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