UK has been facing a substantial economic slowdown since it exited the European Union. As reported by Independent, Britain’s GDP growth is forecasted to fall from this year’s 1.5 percent to 1.4 percent in 2018.
Citing financial analysts from Credit Suisse, a global financial services company, a report by the business insider has revealed that UK might plunge into a recession from the end of 2017. Sonali Punhani and Neville Hill, analysts from Credit Suisse, argue that despite the chances of the recession being small, there is a 38 percent probability that a technical recession might hit the country.
The analysts’ argument is based on the fact that a technical recession occurs when a country’s economy fails to thrive for two successive quarters. Reports from the Swiss banking giant indicate that UK’s economy grew by a mere 0.2 percent during the first quarter of this year with the bank’s current forecasts showing that UK’s economic growth will stagnate at 0.2 percent during the second quarter.
On top of the stagnated economic growth, UK’s turbulent political backdrop, and its dubious Brexit negotiations are possible factors that are likely to fuel the country towards a recession.
Credit Suisse’s new predictions come just a few months after forecasting another recession that never happened. With respect to the previous forecasts, the financial service provider admitted that their recession report was amiss. They also admit to have made errors while modeling the country’s growth. The analysts also revealed that UK’s consumer spending was better than they had predicted.